BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 68 Overall: (12-3) Overall Strength =   37.37
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (4-0) | District: 1-02 Record: (10-2)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-06-2025 Away    L   *  23.83  68  72    1 190 ( 9- 7) Ohio                  -14.69     10.69                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    W      35.32  76  65    1 181 ( 7- 7) Cornell                -3.21     14.21                      
 3 11-14-2025 Neutral L      19.12  67  87    1  52 (12- 3) Southern Cal          -19.41     -0.59                      
 4 11-16-2025 Away    W   *  26.00  82  80    1 242 ( 5-10) Long Beach St         -12.53     14.53                      
 5 11-20-2025 Home    W      38.53  93  48   ZZ 112 ( 0- 1) Rockford               -0.00 *   45.00                      
 6 11-23-2025 Home    W   *  68.38  94  42    1 273 ( 8- 8) Coastal Car            29.86     22.14                      
 7 11-27-2025 Neutral W   *  36.75  79  69    1 169 ( 7- 8) Charlotte              -1.77     11.77                      
 8 11-28-2025 Neutral W   *  31.61  72  65    1 186 (10- 5) Furman                 -6.91     13.91                      
 9 12-03-2025 Home    W   *  30.33  89  78    1 271 ( 4-11) Eastern Kentucky       -8.19     19.19                      
10 12-06-2025 Home    W   *  53.54  95  53    1 326 ( 2-13) Chicago St             15.02 *   26.98                      
11 12-13-2025 Neutral L   *  40.88  78  83    1  25 (13- 1) Utah St                 2.36     -7.36                      
12 12-18-2025 Away    W * *  41.50  75  68    1 112 ( 8- 8) S Illinois              2.97      4.03                      
13 12-21-2025 Home    W * *  40.68  85  65    1 202 ( 8- 8) Indiana St              2.15     17.85                      
14 12-29-2025 Away    W * *  48.38  73  56    1 151 ( 8- 7) Drake                   9.86      7.14                      
15 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  43.03  73  47    1 254 ( 4-12) Evansville              4.50     21.50                      
16 01/07/2026 Away      * *                   1 170 ( 7- 8) Valparaiso                        7.80            
17 01/10/2026 Home      * *                   1 205 ( 5-10) IL Chicago                       16.27            
18 01/14/2026 Away      * *                   1 202 ( 8- 8) Indiana St                       10.17            
19 01/17/2026 Home      * *                   1 133 (10- 6) Bradley                          10.75            
20 01/21/2026 Home      * *                   1  76 (12- 3) Northern Iowa                     3.98            
21 01/25/2026 Away      * *                   1  81 (13- 3) Belmont                          -1.45            
22 01/28/2026 Away      * *                   1  77 (13- 3) Murray St                        -1.69            
23 02/03/2026 Home      * *                   1 112 ( 8- 8) S Illinois                        8.62            
24 02/06/2026 Home      * *                   1 151 ( 8- 7) Drake                            11.74            
25 02/09/2026 Away      * *                   1 254 ( 4-12) Evansville                       14.53            
26 02/12/2026 Home      * *                   1 170 ( 7- 8) Valparaiso                       13.55            
27 02/15/2026 Away      * *                   1 205 ( 5-10) IL Chicago                       10.51            
28 02/18/2026 Home      * *                   1  77 (13- 3) Murray St                         4.06            
29 02/21/2026 Away      * *                   1 133 (10- 6) Bradley                           5.00            
30 02/25/2026 Away      * *                   1  76 (12- 3) Northern Iowa                    -1.78            
31 03/01/2026 Home      * *                   1  81 (13- 3) Belmont                           4.30            
      Averages              38.53  79.9 65.2

Best game:   68.38 = 52 point win over Coastal Car
Worst game:  19.12 = 20 point loss to Southern Cal
Team stdev:  12.34